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Escrito por George Will
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Sábado 28 de Agosto de 2010 00:55 |
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JERUSALEM Immersion in this region's politics can convince those immersed that history is cyclical rather than linear -- that it is not one thing after another but the same thing over and over. This passes for good news because things that do change, such as weapons, often make matters worse.
A profound change, however, is this: Talk about the crisis between Israel and "the Arab world" is anachronistic. Israel has treaties with two Arab nations, Egypt and Jordan, and Israel's most lethal enemy is Iran, which is not an Arab state. It and another non-Arab nation, Turkey, are eclipsing the Arab world, where 60 percent of the population of 300 million is under 25, and 26 percent of that cohort is unemployed. The prerequisites for Arab progress -- freedom, education and the emancipation of women -- are not contemplated.
Syria's Bashar al-Assad, a dictator buttressed by torture, recently called Israel a state "based on crime, slaughter." Imagine what Israelis thought when, at about the time Assad was saying this, a State Department ninny visiting Syria was tweeting to the world, "I'm not kidding when I say I just had the greatest frappacino [sic] ever."
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Escrito por Tod Lindberg
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Sábado 28 de Agosto de 2010 00:51 |
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Perhaps it was the prospect of a trip out of Kampala, Uganda, to the World Cup games in South Africa that put delegates to the International Criminal Court Review Conference in a magnanimous mood last June. Whatever the reason, years of acrimony and dissension melted into agreement. The consensus would have been remarkable even if the conference's agenda had been banal. In fact, it was not. At hand was the issue of the ICC's jurisdiction over the crime of aggression -- a subject so fraught that the delegates who originally negotiated the creation of the ICC in 1998 were only able to do so after deferring this issue until now, 12 years later.
The first noteworthy element of the conference was the presence of U.S. officials. The United States signed, but never ratified, the 1998 Rome Statute that created the court, and it has no vote in the ICC's Assembly of States Parties (ASP). Like other nonparties, though, it has always been eligible to attend meetings as an observer. But Washington has largely kept the ICC at arm's length since the Bush administration decided to withdraw the U.S. signature in May 2002, shortly before the court became operational. The administration feared that, once functional, the court would be a threat to U.S. sovereignty and put U.S. officials and military personnel at risk of prosecution in the course of their duties.
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Escrito por Mariano Aguirre
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Sábado 28 de Agosto de 2010 00:48 |
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 Dos factores operan de forma peligrosa en el conflicto palestino-israelí. Uno es el abismo entre las expectativas para la creación de un Estado palestino y la frustración, que podría degenerar en violencia, si no se llega a ese objetivo. Otro, que Estados Unidos o Israel ataquen a Irán, o que estalle una nueva guerra entre Israel y Hezbolá en Líbano.
Encuestas recientes muestran que el grado de aceptación de la solución de los dos Estados es muy alto entre palestinos e israelíes. Sin embargo, cuando se les pregunta si llegará a realizarse algún día, las expectativas descienden drásticamente.
En los Territorios Ocupados Palestinos, y en sectores progresistas de Israel, se considera imposible negociar con el Gobierno de coalición de Benjamín Netanyahu al tiempo que hay serias dudas sobre la voluntad de Estados Unidos, la ONU y la Unión Europea de presionar seriamente a Israel.
Entre tanto, en el Estado judío reina la desconfianza hacia los dirigentes palestinos.
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